SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Dartford win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Worthing in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dartford | Draw | Worthing |
23.31% ( 0.04) | 23.06% ( 0.02) | 53.62% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.93% ( -0.07) | 44.06% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.55% ( -0.07) | 66.44% ( 0.07) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( -0) | 32.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.62% ( -0.01) | 69.37% ( 0.01) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% ( -0.05) | 16.39% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.97% ( -0.08) | 46.03% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dartford | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.24% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 23.31% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.79% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.62% |
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