SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Dartford |
49.34% ( 0.07) | 23.3% ( -0.01) | 27.35% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.59% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.53% ( 0.01) | 41.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.13% ( 0.01) | 63.86% ( -0.01) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( 0.02) | 16.98% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.91% ( 0.05) | 47.09% ( -0.05) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( -0.04) | 28.21% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.08% ( -0.05) | 63.92% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Dartford |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 4.09% Total : 49.34% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.35% |
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