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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.31%) and 2-1 (7.22%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (12.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
36.97% ( 0.28) | 30.3% ( 0.22) | 32.73% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 41.2% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.85% ( -0.7) | 66.14% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.31% ( -0.48) | 84.68% ( 0.48) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% ( -0.2) | 34.33% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.96% ( -0.21) | 71.04% ( 0.21) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( -0.75) | 37.26% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% ( -0.75) | 74.05% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 13.67% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.96% | 1-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.3% | 0-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.78% Total : 32.72% |
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