Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
