SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 53.35% | 24.57% | 22.08% |
| Both teams to score 49.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.33% | 51.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.55% | 73.45% |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.68% | 19.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.92% | 51.08% |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.81% | 38.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.05% | 74.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% 2-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 5.47% 3-1 @ 5.26% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.95% Total : 53.34% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.1% 1-2 @ 5.62% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.56% Total : 22.08% |
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