Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Argentinos Juniors
34.59% ( 0.32)	29.03% ( 0.2)	36.37% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 44.75% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.04% (

-0.67)

61.96% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.29% (

-0.5)

81.71% (

0.5)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.31% (

-0.13)

33.69% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.66% (

-0.15)

70.34% (

0.15)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.49% (

-0.67)

32.51% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.96% (

-0.76)

69.04% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 34.59%

Argentinos Juniors 36.37%

Draw 29.02%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Argentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.59%	1-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.02%	0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.37%