SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Barracas Central |
57.21% ( 0.06) | 24.98% ( -0.02) | 17.8% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.58% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.96% ( 0.04) | 58.04% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.28% ( 0.03) | 78.72% ( -0.03) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( 0.04) | 20.28% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.36% ( 0.06) | 52.64% ( -0.06) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.41% ( -0.02) | 46.59% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.82% ( -0.02) | 82.18% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 15.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 57.2% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.51% Other @ 0.51% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.8% |
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