SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
25.68% ( -0.09) | 25.8% ( 0.02) | 48.51% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.04% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.64% ( -0.12) | 53.36% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.1% ( -0.1) | 74.9% ( 0.1) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.17% ( -0.14) | 35.83% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.39% ( -0.15) | 72.6% ( 0.15) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( -0.02) | 22.01% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.67% ( -0.03) | 55.32% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 25.68% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 48.5% |
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