SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 25.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
25.51% ( -0.16) | 26.75% ( -0.14) | 47.74% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 47.18% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.98% ( 0.39) | 57.01% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.09% ( 0.31) | 77.91% ( -0.31) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.01% ( 0.08) | 37.99% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.24% ( 0.08) | 74.76% ( -0.08) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( 0.31) | 23.92% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.86% ( 0.44) | 58.14% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 25.51% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 47.73% |
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