SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 8.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.5%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Barracas Central |
73.13% ( 0.12) | 18.38% ( -0.06) | 8.48% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 35.98% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.67% ( 0.04) | 52.33% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.98% ( 0.04) | 74.02% ( -0.04) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.1% ( 0.05) | 12.9% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.67% ( 0.1) | 39.33% ( -0.1) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.31% ( -0.11) | 58.69% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.03% ( -0.06) | 89.97% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 2-0 @ 15.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 15.5% 3-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.78% 4-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 73.11% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.38% | 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.17% Total : 8.48% |
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