SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.06%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.9%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
61.6% ( 0.46) | 24.51% ( -0.14) | 13.88% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 36.5% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.15% ( -0.02) | 61.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.37% ( -0.02) | 81.62% ( 0.02) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( 0.17) | 20.08% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.69% ( 0.27) | 52.31% ( -0.27) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.67% ( -0.5) | 54.33% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.52% ( -0.3) | 87.47% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
| 1-0 @ 17.51% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.1% Total : 61.6% | 0-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.3% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.94% Total : 13.88% |
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