SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Estudiantes |
41.62% ( -0.01) | 28.37% ( 0.02) | 30.01% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.51% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.49% ( -0.08) | 60.51% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.37% ( -0.06) | 80.62% ( 0.06) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.35% ( -0.04) | 28.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.54% ( -0.05) | 64.46% ( 0.05) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.79% ( -0.06) | 36.21% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.01% ( -0.06) | 72.99% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 41.62% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.36% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 30% |
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