SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 50.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
50.59% ( -0.13) | 26.58% ( 0.02) | 22.83% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 45.14% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.65% ( 0.05) | 58.35% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.04% ( 0.04) | 78.96% ( -0.04) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( -0.03) | 23.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.92% ( -0.05) | 57.08% ( 0.05) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.77% ( 0.15) | 41.23% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.24% ( 0.13) | 77.76% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 13.97% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 50.59% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.21% Total : 22.83% |
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