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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 28.05% and a draw has a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Leeds United |
28.05% ( 1.58) | 26% ( 0.75) | 45.95% ( -2.33) |
| Both teams to score 51.28% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.37% ( -2.05) | 52.63% ( 2.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( -1.78) | 74.28% ( 1.78) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% ( 0.16) | 33.51% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% ( 0.18) | 70.15% ( -0.17) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( -1.9) | 22.87% ( 1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.4% ( -2.88) | 56.6% ( 2.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.39% Total : 28.05% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.4)0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.38)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.25)0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.24)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.94% |
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