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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 26.08% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.78%).
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Leeds United |
26.08% ( 1.6) | 24.81% ( 0.83) | 49.1% ( -2.43) |
| Both teams to score 53.42% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.9% ( -2.17) | 49.09% ( 2.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( -2) | 71.17% ( 1.99) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( 0.16) | 33.2% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.19% ( 0.18) | 69.8% ( -0.18) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.97% ( -1.81) | 20.02% ( 1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.77% ( -3) | 52.22% ( 3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.42% Total : 26.08% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.57)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.41)0-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.39)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.29)0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.28)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.81% Total : 49.1% |
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