SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Ilves had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Ilves win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Ilves |
58.1% ( -0.11) | 21.96% ( 0.04) | 19.94% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.67% ( -0.09) | 43.33% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.27% ( -0.09) | 65.72% ( 0.09) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.37% ( -0.06) | 14.63% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.25% ( -0.12) | 42.75% ( 0.12) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% ( 0.02) | 35.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.64% ( 0.02) | 72.35% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 58.09% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.96% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 19.94% |
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