SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
46.13% ( -0.12) | 23.81% ( 0.06) | 30.06% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.78% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.92% ( -0.24) | 42.08% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.52% ( -0.24) | 64.48% ( 0.24) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.54% ( -0.14) | 18.46% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.34% ( -0.24) | 49.65% ( 0.24) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( -0.07) | 26.68% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% ( -0.1) | 61.93% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 46.13% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.06% |
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