Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 56.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 20.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.