Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.07) 
