SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Port Vale |
32.17% ( -0) | 26.76% | 41.06% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.01% ( 0) | 53.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.57% ( 0) | 75.43% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( 0) | 31.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.43% ( 0) | 67.57% ( 0) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( 0) | 25.89% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.12% ( 0) | 60.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.17% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 10.92% 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 3.87% 0-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.06% |
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