SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.68%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
18.97% ( 0.2) | 22.99% ( 0.22) | 58.03% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 50.07% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.93% ( -0.62) | 49.07% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% ( -0.56) | 71.14% ( 0.56) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.05% ( -0.13) | 39.94% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.4% ( -0.12) | 76.6% ( 0.12) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( -0.36) | 16.63% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.54% ( -0.66) | 46.45% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.54% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 18.97% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.39% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.99% Total : 58.02% |
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