Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
