SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
48.46% ( 0.02) | 25.65% ( -0.01) | 25.88% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.66% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.36% ( 0.03) | 52.64% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.71% ( 0.03) | 74.29% ( -0.03) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% ( 0.02) | 21.73% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.09% ( 0.04) | 54.91% ( -0.04) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.73% ( 0.01) | 35.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.97% ( 0.01) | 72.03% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.93% 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 48.46% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.88% |
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