SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
42.28% ( -0.11) | 25.88% ( 0.02) | 31.84% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.52% ( -0.06) | 50.47% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.6% ( -0.05) | 72.4% ( 0.06) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( -0.08) | 23.69% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.2% ( -0.11) | 57.81% ( 0.12) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( 0.03) | 29.68% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.27% ( 0.03) | 65.73% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.84% |
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