Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
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