SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Cove Rangers |
47.49% ( -0.12) | 22.96% ( 0.02) | 29.54% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 62.52% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.67% ( -0.05) | 38.33% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.38% ( -0.05) | 60.61% ( 0.05) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% ( -0.06) | 16.48% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.8% ( -0.12) | 46.2% ( 0.11) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.86% ( 0.04) | 25.13% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.15% ( 0.05) | 59.84% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 47.49% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.54% |
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