SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Dumbarton |
39.04% ( 0.27) | 24.42% ( 0.05) | 36.55% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 59.86% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.07% ( -0.25) | 42.93% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.67% ( -0.25) | 65.33% ( 0.25) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.01% ( 0.03) | 21.99% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.71% ( 0.04) | 55.3% ( -0.04) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( -0.28) | 23.27% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.81% ( -0.41) | 57.19% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.04% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.2% Total : 36.55% |
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