Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
Result | ||
Dumbarton | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
45.89% ( -0) | 23.45% ( -0) | 30.65% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 61.43% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.94% ( 0.01) | 40.06% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.57% ( 0.01) | 62.42% ( -0.01) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.23% ( 0) | 17.76% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.54% ( 0) | 48.46% ( -0) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% ( 0.01) | 25.29% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.94% ( 0.01) | 60.06% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Dumbarton | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.31% 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.83% Total : 45.89% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.65% |
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