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Scottish League One | Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
KH

Dumbarton
2 - 0
Kelty Hearts

Orsi (70', 89')
Niang (84'), Orsi (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Ware (20'), Cunningham (72')
Allan (68')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Dumbarton and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montrose 1-2 Dumbarton
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 2-0 QotS
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.

Result
DumbartonDrawKelty Hearts
45.89% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 23.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 30.65% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 61.43% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)40.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.57% (0.010000000000005 0.01)62.42% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.76% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.54% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.46% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.94% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.06% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 45.89%
    Kelty Hearts 30.65%
    Draw 23.45%
DumbartonDrawKelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 45.89%
1-1 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.25%
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.65%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Montrose 1-2 Dumbarton
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-5 Annan
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 4-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 2-2 Dumbarton
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-1 QotS
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 2-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 2-0 QotS
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 3-2 Arbroath
Tuesday, December 17 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Cove Rangers 0-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-2 Alloa
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Annan 0-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 2-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Scottish League One


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