Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
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