SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 53.58%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Annan Athletic |
53.58% ( 0.55) | 22.53% ( 0.02) | 23.89% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 58.74% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59% ( -0.68) | 41% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.61% ( -0.7) | 63.39% ( 0.7) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.69% ( -0.05) | 15.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.95% ( -0.1) | 44.04% ( 0.1) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( -0.84) | 30.64% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% ( -1) | 66.88% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 53.58% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.9% Total : 23.89% |
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