SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 57.59%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 21.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.81%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
57.59% ( 0) | 20.66% ( -0) | 21.74% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 62.54% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.28% ( 0.02) | 34.71% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.33% ( 0.02) | 56.67% ( -0.02) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.02% ( 0.01) | 11.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.6% ( 0.02) | 37.39% ( -0.02) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( 0.01) | 28.95% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.17% ( 0.02) | 64.83% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.24% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.63% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 57.59% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 5.65% 0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.21% Total : 21.74% |
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