SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 57.91%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 21.18% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Glenavon |
57.91% ( -0.03) | 20.91% ( 0) | 21.18% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.73% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.31% ( 0.05) | 36.69% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.15% ( 0.05) | 58.85% ( -0.05) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.48% ( 0) | 12.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.47% ( 0.01) | 38.53% ( -0.01) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% ( 0.06) | 30.58% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.19% ( 0.07) | 66.81% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.52% 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 4.09% Total : 57.91% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.54% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 21.18% |
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