SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Glenavon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
44.71% ( 0.09) | 25.21% ( -0.03) | 30.08% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.04% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.7% ( 0.09) | 48.3% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.55% ( 0.08) | 70.45% ( -0.08) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.39% ( 0.08) | 21.61% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.29% ( 0.12) | 54.71% ( -0.11) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( 0) | 29.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.14% ( 0) | 65.86% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 44.71% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 30.08% |
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