Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.