Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
