SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 56.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
56.7% ( -0.32) | 22.87% ( 0.18) | 20.43% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.38% ( -0.58) | 46.62% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.11% ( -0.55) | 68.89% ( 0.55) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.78% ( -0.31) | 16.22% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.27% ( -0.57) | 45.73% ( 0.58) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( -0.19) | 36.97% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.24% ( -0.19) | 73.76% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 56.69% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.87% | 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.43% |
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