SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
40.84% ( 0.07) | 24.08% ( -0.04) | 35.08% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.88% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.49% ( 0.18) | 41.5% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.09% ( 0.19) | 63.9% ( -0.19) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( 0.11) | 20.51% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.99% ( 0.17) | 53% ( -0.17) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( 0.07) | 23.4% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.61% ( 0.1) | 57.39% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 40.84% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.08% |
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