Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
Result | ||
Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
57.41% ( 0.43) | 21.85% ( -0.17) | 20.74% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.3% ( 0.43) | 41.7% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.9% ( 0.43) | 64.1% ( -0.43) |
Dynamo Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.7% ( 0.28) | 14.3% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.88% ( 0.54) | 42.11% ( -0.54) |
Krylia Sovetov Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.14% | 33.85% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.47% ( -0) | 70.52% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 57.41% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.84% | 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 20.74% |
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