SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
39.42% ( -0.38) | 23.6% ( 0.07) | 36.98% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 62.99% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.11% ( -0.29) | 38.89% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.8% ( -0.31) | 61.2% ( 0.31) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( -0.3) | 20.05% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.74% ( -0.49) | 52.26% ( 0.49) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.78% ( 0.03) | 21.22% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.89% ( 0.05) | 54.11% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 39.42% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.98% |
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