SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
52.83% ( -0.27) | 24% ( 0.09) | 23.17% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.75% ( -0.17) | 48.25% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.6% ( -0.16) | 70.4% ( 0.16) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( -0.17) | 18.21% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.77% ( -0.29) | 49.23% ( 0.29) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( 0.08) | 35.24% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28% ( 0.09) | 72% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 23.17% |
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