Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
