SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
40.76% ( 1.08) | 26.84% ( -0.27) | 32.39% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 50.79% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.75% ( 0.87) | 54.25% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.35% ( 0.73) | 75.65% ( -0.72) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( 0.99) | 26.17% ( -0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.75% ( 1.31) | 61.25% ( -1.31) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( -0.1) | 31.2% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.46% ( -0.12) | 67.54% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.76% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.39% |
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