SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Eastleigh |
42.11% ( 0.54) | 25.18% ( 0.08) | 32.72% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.84% ( -0.52) | 47.16% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.6% ( -0.48) | 69.4% ( 0.48) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( 0.03) | 22.34% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( 0.05) | 55.82% ( -0.06) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( -0.63) | 27.47% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.03% ( -0.82) | 62.97% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.72% |
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