SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 66.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 2-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
14.94% ( -1.46) | 18.8% ( -1.19) | 66.27% ( 2.65) |
| Both teams to score 55.57% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.45% ( 2.66) | 37.55% ( -2.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.22% ( 2.8) | 59.78% ( -2.8) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.11% ( -0.19) | 37.89% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.34% ( -0.19) | 74.66% ( 0.19) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.46% ( 1.47) | 10.54% ( -1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.76% ( 3.21) | 34.24% ( -3.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.54)2-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.04% Total : 14.94% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.53)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.8% | 0-2 @ 10.1% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.11)0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.61)0-3 @ 7.58% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 7.36% ( 0.35)0-4 @ 4.27% ( 0.46)1-4 @ 4.14% ( 0.43)2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.2)0-5 @ 1.92% ( 0.31)1-5 @ 1.86% ( 0.29)2-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.75% Total : 66.26% |
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