SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
31.35% ( 1.36) | 25.04% ( 0.5) | 43.6% ( -1.86) |
| Both teams to score 56.22% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.94% ( -1.59) | 47.05% ( 1.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.7% ( -1.5) | 69.29% ( 1.5) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% ( 0.12) | 28.3% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.98% ( 0.15) | 64.02% ( -0.15) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% ( -1.49) | 21.59% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.32% ( -2.33) | 54.68% ( 2.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.35% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.32)0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.21)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.47% Total : 43.6% |
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