SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Elche had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Elche |
38.65% ( 0.17) | 28.4% ( -0.03) | 32.95% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 46.33% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.08% ( 0.07) | 59.92% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.82% ( 0.05) | 80.18% ( -0.05) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% ( 0.14) | 30.07% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.8% ( 0.16) | 66.2% ( -0.17) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% ( -0.06) | 33.75% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.59% ( -0.07) | 70.4% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.65% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.94% |
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