SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Eldense |
61.42% ( 0.5) | 23.38% ( -0.27) | 15.2% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 41.89% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.83% ( 0.61) | 56.17% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.77% ( 0.49) | 77.23% ( -0.49) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% ( 0.41) | 17.98% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.17% ( 0.7) | 48.83% ( -0.69) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.07% ( 0.05) | 48.93% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.09% ( 0.04) | 83.91% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Eldense |
| 1-0 @ 15.09% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.98% Total : 61.41% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.49% Total : 23.38% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 15.2% |
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