Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 45.13%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 26.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.05%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Eldense win it was 1-0 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
0.87) 
-1.45) 
