SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a IFK Goteborg win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
56.23% ( -2.82) | 21.97% ( 0.68) | 21.81% ( 2.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.91% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.17% ( -0.23) | 40.83% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.78% ( -0.23) | 63.22% ( 0.24) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.61% ( -0.94) | 14.39% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.72% ( -1.87) | 42.28% ( 1.87) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.64% ( 1.92) | 32.36% ( -1.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.13% ( 2.11) | 68.87% ( -2.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.53)3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.55)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.37)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.1% Total : 56.23% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.25)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.45) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.47% Total : 21.81% |
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