SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a IFK Goteborg win it was 1-0 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Goteborg | Draw | Elfsborg |
24.03% ( 0.03) | 24.45% ( 0.06) | 51.52% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.55% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.72% ( -0.23) | 49.27% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.67% ( -0.21) | 71.33% ( 0.21) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.96% ( -0.1) | 35.03% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.22% ( -0.11) | 71.78% ( 0.1) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% ( -0.13) | 19.11% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.26% ( -0.21) | 50.74% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Goteborg | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.1% 2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 24.03% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.52% |
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