SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | AC Milan |
23.83% ( 0.1) | 24.33% ( 0.37) | 51.84% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 52.68% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( -1.46) | 48.98% ( 1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.92% ( -1.33) | 71.07% ( 1.33) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.94% ( -0.71) | 35.06% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.19% ( -0.75) | 71.8% ( 0.75) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% ( -0.74) | 18.88% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.65% ( -1.24) | 50.35% ( 1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 23.83% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 5.11% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.84% |
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