SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Lecce |
33.79% ( 0.11) | 27.66% ( 0) | 38.55% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.63% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.87% ( 0) | 57.13% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22% ( 0) | 78% ( -0) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% ( 0.07) | 31.73% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.85% ( 0.09) | 68.15% ( -0.09) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( -0.06) | 28.77% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.39% ( -0.08) | 64.61% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.78% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 38.55% |
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